The 50th Anniversary Edition of the best data in the business, updated for 2017
Stock Trader's Almanac 2017 provides the cleanest historical data in the business to give traders and investors an advantage in the market. This 50th Anniversary Edition is consistent with decades of the Stock Trader's Almanac showing you the cycles, trends, and patterns you need to know in order to invest with minimum risk and maximum profit. Updated with the latest numbers, this indispensable guide is organized in a calendar format to provide monthly and daily reminders, including upcoming opportunities to grab and dangers to avoid. Proprietary strategies include the Hirsch Organization's Best Six Months Switching Strategy, the January Barometer, and the Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle, arming you with the tools savvy investors use to achieve their market goals.
Trusted by Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and other respected market authorities, this indispensable guide has helped generations of investors make smart market moves. This new edition provides the same level of invaluable guidance, with the latest data straight from the vault.
• Access the most trusted historical market data available
• Identify patterns and trends you won't find anywhere else
• Get advance notice about upcoming risks and opportunities
• Bring accuracy to your forecasting and confidence to your investing
Analytical tools are essential to successful investing, but they're only as useful as the data is accurate. Even the most beautifully designed model cannot forecast accurately based on incomplete, misleading, or inaccurate numbers; data quality the bedrock of your entire investing strategy, and when it comes to data, cleanliness is next to profitability. Get the edge this year with the best data in the business, plus a wealth of valuable strategies in the Stock Trader's Almanac 2017.
Table of Contents
10 2017 Strategy Calendar
12 January Almanac
14 January’s First Five Days: An Early Warning System
16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Eight Significant Errors in 66 Years
18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950
20 Market Behavior under New Presidents
22 February Almanac
24 Market Charts of Post-Presidential Election Years
26 Post-Election Year Performance by Party
28 Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper
30 March Almanac
32 Market Fares Better under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Better under Republicans
34 Fifty-Year Retrospective
38 April Almanac
40 Republican Congress & Democratic President Is Best for the Market
42 The Seventh Year of Decades
44 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool
46 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record
48 May Almanac
50 Top Performing Months Past 66¼3 Years: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials
52 “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy
54 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results
56 June Almanac
58 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 45¼3 Years
60 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD Timing
62 Triple Returns, Less Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle
64 July Almanac
66 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish
68 2015 Daily Dow Point Changes
70 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday
72 A Rally for All Seasons
74 August Almanac
76 Best Investment Book of the Year: Juggling with Knives: Smart Investing in the Coming Age of Volatility
78 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After
80 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning
82 September Almanac
84 A Correction for All Seasons
86 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days
88 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays
90 October Almanac
92 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined
94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays
96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar
100 November Almanac
102 Fourth Quarter Market Magic
104 Trading the Thanksgiving Market
106 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in the Last Half of December
108 December Almanac
110 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December
112 Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served before Christmas
114 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall
116 Year’s Top Investment Books
118 2018 Strategy Calendar
DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS and DATABANK
121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2017
122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2017
123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2017
124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2017
125 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2017
126 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2017
127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2017
128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2017
129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon
130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 183-Year Saga Continues
131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900
132 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929
NASDAQ Composite Since 1971
133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February
134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April
135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June
136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August
137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October
138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December
139 A Typical Day in the Market
140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis
141 Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week
142 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week
143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952
144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971
145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks
146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks
147 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span
148 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run
149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901
150 S&P 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930
151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971
152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950
154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
155 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950
156 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950
157 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971
158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971
159 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979
160 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979
161 10 Best Days by Percent and Point
162 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point
163 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point
164 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point
165 10 Best Months by Percent and Point
166 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point
167 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point
168 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point
169 10 Best Years by Percent and Point
170 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point
171 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901
172 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930
173 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts since 1971
STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION
175 Portfolio at Start of 2017
176 Additional Purchases
178 Short-Term Transactions
180 Long-Term Transactions
182 Interest/Dividends Received during 2017/Brokerage Account Data 2017
183 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2017
185 Weekly Indicator Data 2017
187 Monthly Indicator Data 2017
188 Portfolio at End of 2017
189 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations
190 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised
191 G.M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival
192 G.M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist